But didn’t the models predict otherwise?
Monday, June 10, 2019
So which is it, folks …
… oh, it’s both: Great Lakes Reveal a Fatal Flaw in Climate Change ‘Science’ – Issues & Insights.
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Frank, I love your blog and I am a loyal reader, but your posts on climate change usually have me shaking my head. Yes, there is such a thing as scientism - a murky quasi-religious belief in prevailing scietific trends. And yes, many folks repeat things that they don't understand or mis-interpret. However, most of us still trust our lived experiences and our own detailed observations. Point in fact, I am a very serious gardener. I pay attention to the weather and what is killed by frost and what withers in the heat. Over the course of the past three decades I have seen a dramatic shift that published science bears out - my planting zone (in central Texas) has gotten markedly more tropical over the years. Plants that used to require extraordinary protection in the winter now thrive without it. Climate scientists (incuding Katherine Heyhoe - who you should look up) have predicted this steady warming. They also acknowledge that we will face more climatic extremes - dramatic shifts especially in rainfall with more frequent and devasting storms, droughts and floods. This too is happening. If no one- ever - had talked about climate change I would still notice what is happening in my backyard. This particular article seems part of the general campaign to excuse the inexcusable - deying human impact on climate and the life of our planet. Reading the "about" section of the website hosting this article makes it pretty clear that the article should be read with suspicion.
ReplyDeleteThank you for what you do - and again - look up Katherine Heyhoe.
Hi Tom,
ReplyDeleteI, too, am a very serious gardener. In fact, I think the two groups who know weather best are commercial fishermen and farmers. Nor do I deny climate change. Climate is a chaotic system, governed by a non-linear dynamic. It is continuously changing. In science, one postulates a hypothesis and then makes use of observation and experiment to confirm or falsify said hypothesis. Science is not, however, about predicting the future. The global warming hypothesis has been used from time to time to explain any and every weather event. That should set off everybody's BS detector. I am old enough to remember the Newsweek cover predicting an ice age within my lifetime. Here in Philly it's been raining quite a lot. Today's paper assures us it will soon become a hot summer. We shall see. The so-called little ice age started with heavy rains. The media should report the news and leave the prophecies to the horoscope column. And everyone should read E. Kirsten Peters's The Whole Story of Climate, which comes out in paperback in August. Finally, the next time I hear a local politician bloviate about climate, I intend to send him an email asking what he proposes doing about the 200 coal mine fires currently burning in Pennsylvania. Oh, and there can be no doubt that human activity largely accounts for the length of the Holocene epoch we are currently in. But the principal driver of climate on earth remans the sun. Look up Valentina Zharkova and grand solar minimum. Finally, I could, of course, be altogether wrong. So feel free to object. Nothing like free and open discussion to help get at the truth of things.