Friday, September 04, 2020

Where we stand …

… COVID – why terminology really, really matters | Dr. Malcolm Kendrick. (Hat tip, Dave Lull.)

On the 28th February, yes that far back, the New England Journal of Medicine published a report by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD (A.S.F., H.C.L.); and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta. 
In this paper ‘Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted’ they stated the following:
‘On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%. In another article in the Journal, Guan et al. report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate (my underline) may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza.’ 
Which appears to be where we are headed.

2 comments:

  1. Meanwhile, actual qualified scientists doing the real research are finding that if you catch Covid-19, no matter your age or health, it will damage your heart, permanently: ‘Carnage’ in a lab dish shows how the coronavirus may damage the heart.

    Dr. Bruce Conklin of Gladstone Institute of Data Science and Biotechnology remarks, “Fifty years from now, what are we going to be seeing?”

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  2. What are your qualifications for deciding that physician A is a qualified scientist but Physician B is not?

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