Saturday, December 08, 2007

Predicting is difficult ...

... especially the future, as Niels Bohr observed. Which is why everybody - especially journalists (and maybe the new breed of scientists) ought to read Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan.


Update: On Yogi versus Niels.

3 comments:

  1. Susan B.12:03 PM

    The best predictor of the future is the past. Look back and you'll see....

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  2. +1 on Black Swan. But wasn't that Yogi Berra?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Yogi versus Niels versus ?:

    In Denmark there are other candidates.

    ReplyDelete