It would be terrifying to learn that doctors actually think that “drug trial finds positive result” means “this drug works for all patients in all circumstances”. Similarly, if K&K are right in thinking that economists and finance types need to be told that their models are not 100% precise representations of reality – if they think they never need to put a term for “maybe this model is wrong” into their model, and are just happy to bet all our money on them definitely not having forgotten to carry the 2 at some point in their big spreadsheet – then that, too, is completely terrifying. If K&K are right that this book needed to be written, then: holy shit.
Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Hmm …
… Are economists really this stupid? - UnHerd. (Hat tip, Rich Lloret.)
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