Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Retrospective distortion ...

... and why we insist on trying to do the impossible, namely, predict the future and prevent disaster. After all, as Niall Ferguson asks and Nassim Nicolas Taleb explains, We can see the causes of Cho's rampage now, so why not before? (Hat tip, Dave Lull.)

1 comment:

  1. Scott Stein looks at a proposed predictor of violence when he answers the question “Can studying a killer's art help us prevent future carnage?” in his article ”The Failed Playwright of Virginia Tech.”