Saturday, December 08, 2007

Predicting is difficult ...

... especially the future, as Niels Bohr observed. Which is why everybody - especially journalists (and maybe the new breed of scientists) ought to read Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Black Swan.


Update: On Yogi versus Niels.
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3 comments:

  1. Anonymous12:03 PM

    The best predictor of the future is the past. Look back and you'll see....

    ReplyDelete
  2. Charlie Martin12:32 AM

    +1 on Black Swan. But wasn't that Yogi Berra?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Dave Lull10:53 AM

    Yogi versus Niels versus ?:

    In Denmark there are other candidates.

    ReplyDelete

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