Thursday, April 23, 2020

Hmm …

… No lockdown in Sweden but Stockholm could see 'herd immunity' in weeks. (Hat tip, Dave Lull.)


  1. Jeff Mauvais1:33 PM

    The Johns Hopkin Coronavirus website has data updated every couple of hours, enabling country-to-country comparisons. Under the tab labeled Critical Trends one can find a box which asks "How does mortality differ across countries?". Clicking on that box displays, among other things, a table showing mortality data for 134 countries.

    I've been following the data for Sweden and its three border neighbors: Denmark, Norway, and Finland. These countries are ethnically and demographically very similar, and have almost identical healthcare systems. But Sweden has been following a modified herd immunity approach, while the others have adopted stricter measures.

    Here are the current coronavirus death rates for those countries, expressed as fatalities per 100,000 people:

    Sweden 19.02
    Denmark 6.62
    Norway 3.52
    Finland 2.70

  2. I think the article makes that clear. It does seem to appear that most healthy people who are infected show no symptoms. And most of those who have symptoms get well. Half of those over 65 who have symptoms get well. But those, of whatever age, who have other health issues can be in serious danger. Perhaps the lockdown saved some of those.

  3. 'It does seem to appear that most healthy people who are infected show no symptoms.'

    And there is some question as to whether the antibody test studies are sound:

    A discussion about the efficacy and consequences of lockdown is warranted, but the plethora of your links, Frank, reveals a certain bias. I suggest--most cordially--some restraint.