Like essentially every American with a pulse, I have spent countless hours over the past weeks listening to both politicians and “experts” reporting the “data” and “statistics” on COVID19. Most people now appreciate that testing has been spotty at best and fraught with false negatives, and that therefore, we have likely woefully under-estimate the true number of cases of the virus.
That said, one of the numbers most frequently reported (daily) — and the one piece of data most commonly cited as a veritable certainty — is the number of deaths from COVID. Well here’s the sobering reality: The numbers being reported by the CDC are wrong. In fact, they are very, very wrong …
Sunday, April 05, 2020
Well, well …
… COVID-19 Mortality Statistics | IP4PI – Independent Physicians for Patient independence. (Hat tip, Dave Lull.)
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Whoever wrote that is missing some serious points.
ReplyDeleteIf I catch Covid-19, and then die of a heart attack, would it only be coincidence that I died of the heart attack after contracting Covid-19? The latest is that Covid-19 seems to be causing strokes. We have to dig down into it to find out why there is such an association.
Why the spike in deaths that look like Covid-19 deaths, among people who have not been tested? We can safely say that in very large part, the killer was the virus. Similar to the heart attack, you know I have been seeing a pulomonologist this past year. But I have not been tested for Covid-19. If I die a Covid-19-style death, is it not most likely that it is because I contracted the killer virus?
It makes no sense to try to make excuses for sound and safe hypotheses. We will be able to test for who died from the disease at a later point, with whatever samples from the carcasses have been kept. But then the same logic flips, we may then have been surprised at who we thought did not die from it, but had it. There may come a time when all possible data is in, each of us gets tested, dead or alive, and left aboard the contaminated planet will know for sure which ones of us were the roots of the most deaths.
I do not want to die from it, and I do not want to be a serial killer by spreading it. I surely do not want to be responsibility for passing it onto Mary, my parents, children, grandchildren, and dear friends.
In the coming weeks, best estimation is that we nearly all in the USA be losing some among those we know personally. Brace your heart.
Frankly, such websites are in themselves suspect. Always verify info from multiple reliable sources.
ReplyDeleteHi Rus,
ReplyDeleteWell, the byline identifies the author as an MD. More precisely, she is a board certified trauma & emergency specialist with over 15 years of clinical experience, a member of the Nat’l Preparedness Leadership Initiative, a combined effort of Harvard School of Public Health and Kennedy School of Gov’t to develop “meta-leaders” for national disaster preparedness & response. She has lectured at the HBS Healthcare Conference, is a member of the Leadership Council at Harvard School of Public Health, and served as an advisor to the Romney healthcare policy team. Sounds to me as if she is actually qualified to advance an opinion on this matter. What exactly qualifies you to judge a given hypothesis in this matter as sound and safe? And why exactly are we not to consider challenges to those hypotheses? It was our credentialed masters dubious competence that contributed mightily to this problem. But now we are supposed to blindly trust them to solve it and only listen to approved views? I know this much: That's not how science works.
Hi Lee,
ReplyDeleteSee above. I think the author checks out as qualified to advance the views she has, even if those views, for whatever reason, do not meet with your approval.
Hi Frank how are you? Hope all well. Did you get my mail? Checking in on how you are managing in these times.
ReplyDelete